Decarbonization of Shipping: International Maritime Organization’s Uncertain Pathway Towards Carbon Neutrality
Main Article Content
Abstract
The International Maritime Organization (IMO) finally has aligned its decarbonization target with the Paris agreement target of net-zero emissions by 2050 through adoption of the 2023 IMO GHG strategy revoking its previous 2018 GHG strategy. The IMO has been working towards decarbonization of shipping for nearly two decades now through implementing policies but unable to control the GHG emissions from shipping as global trade among countries has increased drastically. There is still a gap in fully understanding how carbon emissions are being reduced in international shipping, especially when it comes to the policies and actions in place making it harder to create solid, informed policies. Thus, the latest policy is being applauded by policymakers and business communities and simultaneously facing criticism from other stakeholders on being ambitious but unrealistic. Through a qualitative analysis approach, this study reveals why the IMO’s ambitious policy goals are considered unrealistic. The results show that, the IMO, despite setting an ambitious target of net-zero emissions by 2050, due to issues like- technological barriers, high costs, limited market-based support and implication on regulatory enforcement, is still falling behind on its GHG emission reduction pathway. This paper also suggests some realistic solutions which could help immediate cut down of GHG emissions from shipping and attain the IMO’s net-zero emission reduction target by 2050 and in the process attain 20% to 30% GHG near emission reduction target by 2030.
Article Details

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
References
Adanma, U. M., & Ogunbiyi, E. O. (2024). Evaluating the effectiveness of global governance mechanisms in promoting environmental sustainability and international relations. Finance & Accounting Research Journal, 6(5), 763-791. https://doi.org/10.51594/farj.v6i5.1151
Akhtar, M. Z., Zaman, K., & Khan, M. A. (2024). Unveiling the role of ecosystem-based fisheries management in mitigating biodiversity loss: A panel study of Asian countries. International Journal of Rural Management, 21(1), 66-79. https://doi.org/10.1177/09730052241292924
Alshiqi, S., Bekteshi, X., Jozwik, B., Altin, F. G., Dogan, M., & Petrossyants, T. (2024). The impact of shipping connectivity on environmental quality, financial development, and economic growth in RCEP countries. Preprints.org. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202410.2559.v1
Austin, N. (2023, October 13). CII--Change in the air? Lexology. https://www.lexology.com/library/detail.aspx?g=f2f3000e-18db-4051-a3e5-e3982f799ef5
Bassan, N., Flamand, A., & Clausen, A. (2025). Developing the ambition for action in the Ocean Decade to 2030. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 82(1), fsae195. https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsae195
BIMCO. (2024, February 7). Ships must cut underwater noise or face mandatory regulation. International Shipping News. https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/ships-must-cut-underwater-noise-or-face-mandatory-regulation/
Browne, G., Natano, K., & Whipps, S., Jr. (2024, May 21). Request for an advisory opinion submitted by the Commission of Small Island States on Climate Change and International Law. International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea. https://www.itlos.org/fileadmin/itlos/documents/cases/31/Advisory_Opinion/C31_Adv_Op_21.05.2024_orig.pdf
Campara, L., Hasanspahic, N., & Vujicic, S. (2018). Overview of MARPOL Annex VI regulations for prevention of air pollution from marine diesel engines. SHS Web of Conferences, 58, 01004. https://doi.org/10.1051/shsconf/20185801004
Carvalho, F., & Comer, B. (2024, January 26). Aligning the IMO's greenhouse gas fuel standard with its GHG strategy and the Paris Agreement. International Council on Clean Transportation. https://theicct.org/aligning-the-imos-greenhouse-gas-fuel-standard-with-its-ghg-strategy-and-the-paris-agreement-jan24/
Chavando, A., Silva, V., Cardoso, J., & Eusebio, D. (2024). Advancements and challenges of ammonia as a sustainable fuel for the maritime industry. Energies, 17(13), 3183. https://doi.org/10.3390/en17133183
Chen, L., He, Y., & He, Y. (2024). Factors influencing marine ecological environment governance toward sustainability: A case study of Zhejiang Province. Frontiers in Marine Science, 11, 1359879. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2024.1359879
Chircop, A., Doelle, M., & Gauvin, R. (2018). The challenge of regulating GHG emissions from international shipping. In Shipping and climate change: International law and policy considerations (pp. 27-55). Centre for International Governance Innovation. http://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep24972.8
Corbett, J. J., & Winebrake, J. J. (2010). The role of international policy in mitigating global shipping emissions. Brown Journal of World Affairs, 16(2), 143-154. http://www.jstor.org/stable/24590915
Dan-Bunkering. (2024, October 14). Key requirements in MARPOL Annex VI. https://dan-bunkering.com/maritime-insights-and-knowledge-hub/key-requirements-in-marpol-annex-vi/
De Spiegeleir, M. A. T. B. (2025, July 28). The ICJ's advisory opinion on climate change: An introduction. Climate Law Blog. https://blogs.law.columbia.edu/climatechange/2025/07/24/the-icjs-advisory-opinion-on-climate-change-an-introduction/
Dikos, D., & McCoy, T. J. (2024). Interactive attained and predicted CII grade calculator tool. In SNAME Maritime Convention. SNAME. https://doi.org/10.5957/smc-2024-079
Ekemezie, I. O., & Digitemie, W. N. (2024). Assessing the role of LNG in global carbon neutrality efforts: A project management review. GSC Advanced Research and Reviews, 18(3), 91-100. https://doi.org/10.30574/gscarr.2024.18.3.0095
Escobar, N., Seber, G., Skalsky, R., Wogerer, M., Jung, M., & Malina, R. (2024). Spatially-explicit land use change emissions and carbon payback times of biofuels under the Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA). Science of The Total Environment, 948, 174635. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174635
Gianni, M., Pietra, A., Coraddu, A., & Taccani, R. (2022). Impact of SOFC power generation plant on Carbon Intensity Index (CII) calculation for cruise ships. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 10(10), 1478. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse10101478
Gillie, M., & Kent, G. (2024). Expert review of AI-generated responses to the top ten patient complaints in primary care. Academia Medicine, 1(4). https://doi.org/10.20935/acadmed7388
Guild, R., Wang, X., & Quijon, P. A. (2024). Climate change impacts on coastal ecosystems. Environmental Research: Climate, 3(4), 042006. https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ad9f90
Herdzik, J., & Lesnau, A. (2024). Decarbonization in shipping--The hopes and doubts on the way to hydrogen use. Energies, 17(18), 4668. https://doi.org/10.3390/en17184668
Horteborn, A., & Hassellov, I.-M. (2023). Economic incentives and technological limitations govern environmental impact of LNG feeder vessels. Journal of Cleaner Production, 429, 139461. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.139461
Horvath, S., Fasihi, M., & Breyer, C. (2018). Techno-economic analysis of a decarbonized shipping sector: Technology suggestions for a fleet in 2030 and 2040. Energy Conversion and Management, 164, 230-241. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enconman.2018.02.098
Huy, N. Q., Duong, P. A., Nam, T. T., Ha, T. T. T., Ryu, B. R., & Kang, H. (2024). A novel proposal for a marine fuel cell system utilizes LNG as a sustainable and green fuel for the future of shipping. Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology, 48(2), 46-54. https://doi.org/10.5916/jamet.2024.48.2.46
Ibokette, A. I., Ogundare, T. O., Akindele, J. S., Anyebe, A. P., & Okeke, R. O. (2024). Decarbonization strategies in the U.S. maritime industry with a focus on overcoming regulatory and operational challenges in implementing zero-emission vessel technologies. International Journal of Innovative Science and Research Technology, 9(11), 131-162. https://doi.org/10.38124/ijisrt/ijisrt24nov829
International Council on Clean Transportation. (2011). The energy efficiency design index (EEDI) for new ships (ICCT Policy Update No. 15). https://theicct.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/ICCTpolicyupdate15_EEDI_final.pdf
International Maritime Organization. (2023). 2023 IMO strategy on reduction of GHG emissions from ships. https://www.imo.org/en/ourwork/environment/pages/2023-imo-strategy-on-reduction-of-ghg-emissions-from-ships.aspx
International Maritime Organization. (2025, April 11). Draft regulations will set mandatory marine fuel standard and GHG emissions pricing for shipping to address climate change. https://www.imo.org/en/mediacentre/pressbriefings/pages/imo-approves-netzero-regulations.aspx
International Maritime Organization. (n.d.-a). IMO data collection system (DCS). https://www.imo.org/en/ourwork/environment/pages/data-collection-system.aspx
International Maritime Organization. (n.d.-b). IMO's work to cut GHG emissions from ships. https://www.imo.org/en/MediaCentre/HotTopics/Pages/Cutting-GHG-emissions.aspx
International Maritime Organization. (n.d.-c). Improving the energy efficiency of ships. https://www.imo.org/en/OurWork/Environment/Pages/Improving%20the%20energy%20efficiency%20of%20ships.aspx
Kenney-Lazar, M., Johnson, A., Sultana, F., Himley, M., Bebbington, A. J., Havice, E., Rice, J., & Osborne, T. (2023). Relational environmental governance: A critical framework for praxis with the material world. Journal of Political Ecology, 30(1), 677-698. https://doi.org/10.2458/jpe.5542
Kerr, B. (2024). Climate obligations for international shipping [Doctoral dissertation, Utrecht University]. https://doi.org/10.33540/2406
Kopela, S. (2016, May 3). Shipping and climate change: The IMO is making progress - though worryingly slowly. EJIL: Talk!: Blog of the European Journal of International Law. https://www.ejiltalk.org/shipping-and-climate-change-the-imo-is-making-progress-though-worryingly-slowly/
Krigslund, N. (2023, June 29). IMO hit with scathing criticism ahead of crucial meeting. ShippingWatch. https://shippingwatch.com/regulation/article16214021.ece
Kristiansen, T. (2023, July 13). Researchers: New skills are needed at IMO to reach climate goals. ShippingWatch. https://shippingwatch.com/regulation/article16287045.ece
Kristiansen, T., & Valeur, I. T. (2023, July 7). Shipping companies praise climate deal: 'An important milestone'. ShippingWatch. https://shippingwatch.com/regulation/article16276653.ece
Kudyakov, A. K. (2024). Primenenie ekosistemnogo podkhoda k likvidatsii i vozmeshcheniiu nakoplennogo vreda okruzhaiushchei srede [Application of the ecosystem approach to liquidation and compensation of accumulated damage to the environment]. Economy and Law, (10), 95-108. https://doi.org/10.18572/0134-2398-2024-10-95-108
Laffineur, L., Spiegelenberg, F., Sidenvall Jegou, I., Smith, T., & Bonello, J.-M. (2023, December 1). The implications of the IMO revised GHG strategy for shipping. Global Maritime Forum. https://globalmaritimeforum.org/insight/the-implications-of-the-imo-revised-ghg-strategy-for-shipping/
Lehtoranta, K., Kuittinen, N., Vesala, H., & Koponen, P. (2023). Methane emissions from a state-of-the-art LNG-powered vessel. Atmosphere, 14(5), 825. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos14050825
Li, H., Xing, W., Jiao, H., Yang, Z., & Li, Y. (2024). Deep bi-directional information-empowered ship trajectory prediction for maritime autonomous surface ships. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 181, 103367. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tre.2023.103367
Li, W., & Hu, Z. (2024). Pathways in the governance of shipping decarbonization from perspective of balancing the conflicting interests. Frontiers in Marine Science, 11, 1479528. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2024.1479528
Longva, T., Eide, M. S., Endresen, O., Sekkesaeter, O., Helgesen, H., & Rivedal, N. H. (2024). Marginal abatement cost curves for CO2 emission reduction from shipping to 2050. Maritime Transport Research, 6, 100112. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.martra.2024.100112
Louizou, D. (2024). Shipping in energy transition pathways to meet IMO 2050 greenhouse gas reduction targets [Master's thesis, University of Piraeus]. https://doi.org/10.26267/unipi_dione/4704
Mashruk, S., Shi, H., Mazzotta, L., Ustun, C. E., Aravind, B., Meloni, R., Alnasif, A., Boulet, E., Jankowski, R., Yu, C., Alnajideen, M., Paykani, A., Maas, U., Slefarski, R., Borello, D., & Valera-Medina, A. (2024). Perspectives on NOX emissions and impacts from ammonia combustion processes. Energy & Fuels, 38(20), 19253-19292. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.energyfuels.4c03381
Mavrakos, A. S., Tsaousis, T., Faggioni, N., Caviglia, A., & Manzo, E. (2024). A digital twin approach for selection and deployment of decarbonization solutions for the maritime sector. In B. Karakostas & T. Katsoulakos (Eds.), State-of-the-art digital twin applications for shipping sector decarbonization (pp. 26-52). IGI Global Scientific Publishing. https://doi.org/10.4018/978-1-6684-9848-4.ch002
Miola, A., Ciuffo, B., Marra, M., & Giovine, E. (2010). Analytical framework to regulate air emissions from maritime transport. Publications Office of the European Union. https://doi.org/10.2788/78254
Motlagh, H. R. S., Zadeh, S. B. I., & Garay-Rondero, C. L. (2023). Towards International Maritime Organization carbon targets: A multi-criteria decision-making analysis for sustainable container shipping. Sustainability, 15(24), 16834. https://doi.org/10.3390/su152416834
Munim, Z. H., Saha, R., Schoyen, H., Ng, A. K. Y., & Notteboom, T. E. (2021). Autonomous ships for container shipping in the Arctic routes. Journal of Marine Science and Technology, 27(1), 320-334. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00773-021-00836-8
Narula, K. (2018). Lowering emissions from the shipping sector. In K. Narula, The maritime dimension of sustainable energy security (Vol. 68, pp. 187-209). Springer Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-1589-3_9
Nguyen, P. D., & Nguyen, Y. T. H. (2025). Assessing the role of international judicial advisory opinions in the evolution of international environmental law in response to climate change. University of Bologna Law Review, 10(1), 1-34. https://doi.org/10.6092/ISSN.2531-6133/22335
Olmer, N., Comer, B., Roy, B., Mao, X., & Rutherford, D. (2017). Greenhouse gas emissions from global shipping, 2013-2015. International Council on Clean Transportation. https://theicct.org/sites/default/files/publications/Global-shipping-GHG-emissions-2013-2015_ICCT-Report_17102017_vF.pdf
Onwubiko, C., & Worlanyo, D. (2024). A review: Nature-based solutions. Preprints.org. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202409.1583.v1
Prieur, M., Torre-Schaub, M., Duarte Junior, D., Gaillard, E., Le Bris, C., Mekouar, M. A., Michelot, A., Mercure, P.-F., Piette, J., Juste Ruiz, J., Robert-Cuendet, S., Simou, S., Sozzo, C. G., & Tietzmann e Silva, J. A. (2024). Expose ecrit a la Cour internationale de Justice fonde sur la resolution 77/276 du 29 mars 2022 de l'Assemblee generale des Nations Unies, par laquelle un avis consultatif a ete demande a la Cour sur les obligations des Etats a l'egard des changements climatiques: Amicus curiae du Centre international de droit compare de l'environnement [Written statement to the International Court of Justice based on United Nations General Assembly resolution 77/276 of 29 March 2022, by which an advisory opinion was requested from the Court on the obligations of States in respect of climate change: Amicus curiae of the International Centre of Comparative Environmental Law]. Centre international de droit compare de l'environnement. https://climatecasechart.com/wp-content/uploads/non-us-case-documents/2024/20240320_18913_na.pdf
Rahim, M. M., Islam, Md. T., & Kuruppu, S. (2016). Regulating global shipping corporations' accountability for reducing greenhouse gas emissions in the seas. Marine Policy, 69, 159-170. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2016.04.018
Rauca, L., & Batrinca, G. (2023). Impact of carbon intensity indicator on the vessels' operation and analysis of onboard operational measures. Sustainability, 15(14), 11387. https://doi.org/10.3390/su151411387
Raza, A., Hadia, M., Zunaira-Tu-Zehra, & Ali Khan, L. (2024). Perspective of NH3 as a clean energy zero-carbon fuel. In J. J. Roa Rovira (Ed.), Exergy--Theoretical background and case studies. IntechOpen. https://doi.org/10.5772/intechopen.1005666
Rodriguez Luna, O. D., & Martinez Marin, J. E. (2024). Climate governance: Relationship between the port states, the coastal states, and the flag states through the Venn diagram. In 10th International Conference on Maritime Transport (Maritime Transport X). Universitat Politecnica de Catalunya, Iniciativa Digital Politecnica. https://doi.org/10.5821/mt.13203
Roux, M., Ekvall, T., Schmidt, J., & Croxatto Vega, G. (2024). Which rules to follow? How differences in renewable fuel standards obscure the potential climate impact of transportation fuels. Frontiers in Energy Research, 12, 1490137. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2024.1490137
Sahin, A. U. (2024). IMO 2023 Revised Emission Reduction Strategy and Regulatory Challenges of Maritime Decarbonization. European Journal of Commercial Contract Law, 16(1), 25-33. https://doi.org/10.7590/187714624x17132716463900
Santos, M. M., & Serra, E. G. (2024). Legislacao e regulamentacao sobre a emissao de gases de efeito estufa na navegacao: Estado, evolucao e impactos no Brasil [Legislation and regulation on the emission of greenhouse gases in shipping: State, evolution and impacts in Brazil]. Revista fisio&terapia, 28(140), 41-42. https://doi.org/10.69849/revistaft/pa10202411102241
Selin, H., & Cowing, R. (2018, December 18). Cargo ships are emitting boatloads of carbon, and nobody wants to take the blame. The Conversation. https://theconversation.com/cargo-ships-are-emitting-boatloads-of-carbon-and-nobody-wants-to-take-the-blame-108731
Serra, P., & Fancello, G. (2020). Towards the IMO's GHG goals: A critical overview of the perspectives and challenges of the main options for decarbonizing international shipping. Sustainability, 12(8), 3220. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12083220
Shi, Y., & Gullett, W. (2018). International regulation on low-carbon shipping for climate change mitigation: Development, challenges, and prospects. Ocean Development & International Law, 49(2), 134-156. https://doi.org/10.1080/00908320.2018.1442178
Silva, S. R. E., & Moreira, M. B. (2024). An optimisation-based approach to reduce fuel consumption and emissions from shipping navigation. In A. A. Kana (Ed.), Proceedings of the 15th International Marine Design Conference: IMDC-2024. TU Delft OPEN Books. https://doi.org/10.59490/imdc.2024.832
Song, P. (2020). Impact of GHG mitigation policy on China's shipping industry and suggestions [Master's thesis, World Maritime University]. World Maritime University. https://commons.wmu.se/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1264&context=msem_dissertations
Takebayashi, M., & Yamaguchi, H. (2024). The net zero policy and its impact on the air transport network: Considering the modal competition between airlines and high-speed rail. Transport Economics and Management, 2, 122-129. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.team.2024.06.002
Tanaka, Y. (2016). Regulation of greenhouse gas emissions from international shipping and jurisdiction of states. Review of European, Comparative & International Environmental Law, 25(3), 333-346. https://doi.org/10.1111/reel.12181
Tichavska, M., & Tovar, B. (2015). Environmental cost and eco-efficiency from vessel emissions in Las Palmas Port. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 83, 126-140. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tre.2015.09.002
Trakakis, A., Daremas, N., Papatheodorou, M., Chatzinikolaou, S., Papadopoulos, C., & Kaiktsis, L. (2023, March 7-8). CII compliance: Effects of operational and technological measures on current levels and time development of calculated CII [Conference session]. SNAME 8th International Symposium on Ship Operations, Management and Economics, Athens, Greece. https://doi.org/10.5957/some-2023-039
Trimmer, C., & Godar, J. (2019). Calculating maritime shipping emissions per traded commodity (SEI Brief). Stockholm Environment Institute. https://www.sei.org/publications/shipping-emissions-per-commodity/
Vidar, A., Ella, E., & Gote, I. (2023). International environmental law and marine pollution in the Pacific Islands: Promoting sustainable ocean governance. Law and Economy, 2(11), 6-14. https://doi.org/10.56397/le.2023.11.02
von Malmborg, F. (2024). At the controls: Politics and policy entrepreneurs in EU policy to decarbonize maritime transport. Review of Policy Research, 42(5), 1243-1276. https://doi.org/10.1111/ropr.12609
Wang, J., & Zhang, Y. (2024). The area-based management tools coordination between IMO and BBNJ agreement regimes and its implications on vessel pollution control. Frontiers in Marine Science, 11, 1341222. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2024.1341222
Yacout, D. M. M., Tysklind, M., & Upadhyayula, V. K. K. (2024). Socio-economic implications of forest-based biofuels for marine transportation in the Arctic: Sweden as a case study. Frontiers in Climate, 6, 1414813. https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2024.1414813
Zacharias, M., & Ardron, J. (2019). Marine policy: An introduction to governance and international law of the oceans (2nd ed.). Taylor & Francis. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781351216227
Zhang, J., Zhang, Z., & Liu, D. (2024). Comparative study of different alternative fuel options for shipowners based on carbon intensity index model under the background of green shipping development. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 12(11), 2044. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse12112044
Zhao, H. (2024). Simulation research on ammonia-hydrogen mixed combustion engine. Highlights in Science Engineering and Technology, 88, 578. https://doi.org/10.54097/3kbma921